Bracket Breakdown: Game-by-game analysis, picks in WIAA Class 1A state football tournament

Jason Smith still remembers those drives to Ferndale. 

It was the fall of 1996, and Smith was a recent Western Washington University grad and first-year high school football coach at Mount Baker. He was sent out to study the Golden Eagles’ vaunted Wing-T attack as a part of Mountaineers coach Ron Lepper’s efforts to install the same offense at Mount Baker the following season.

Smith’s stint on Lepper’s staff was short-lived, but his connections to Mount Baker run deep. His brother, Jesse Morris, played for Lepper in the late 90s. His mom, Melody Morris, taught in the Mount Baker School District for decades.

Since then, Mount Baker has deployed one of the most prolific Wing-T offense in Class 1A.

And this week, Smith is gearing up to defend the very system he helped construct. 

When No. 9 Toppenish (10-0) takes on No. 8 Mount Baker (6-3) at Bellingham’s Civic Stadium in the first round of the 1A state playoffs on Saturday, it will be the first time Smith, now the Wildcats’ coach, goes head-to-head with one of his foundational coaching mentors.

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Toppenish hasn’t made the state playoffs since 1996. In 1997 — Lepper’s first year running the Wing-T — Mount Baker made its first state playoffs.

After a year on Lepper’s staff, Smith moved to central Washington and spent two years coaching at Selah. He left coaching for more than a decade, but when the Toppenish job opened up in 2008, he jumped back in and has led the Wildcats ever since.

He’s seen plenty of Wing-T teams over the years. This season, three of the Wildcats’ closest games have come against teams that have deployed the Wing-T — Connell (21-14), Quincy (21-13), Zillah (14-7) — or something like it.

Smith knows as well as anyone that defending the run-heavy, misdirection-based attack is more about staying disciplined on defense than knowing what the other team is going to do.

Stopping — or even slowing — the Mounties present a whole new challenge. 

“You ask Jason Smith what we run on 4th and 1, it’s the same play,” Lepper said. “That’s the play we run, that’s the play we have confidence in and we can be successful with it.”

On Sunday, Lepper broke the news of the WIAA seeding matchup to him in the form of a text. 

“It adds a little more to the intrigue” to the matchup, Lepper said. “He’s put a lot of time and effort into that program and I’m really happy for them. You’ve got to take advantage of that. Undefeated seasons don’t come around very often for programs.”

Smith is more wary.

“When you’re going against your mentor, and he knows everything you do because he told you everything to do, that’s a little intimidating,” he said, with a laugh.

Editor’s note: Here’s a game-by-game breakdown, including top individual performers, outlook and score prediction of this weekend’s 2021 WIAA Class 1A football round-of-16 matchups.

NO. 11 FREEMAN SCOTTIES (7-2) at NO. 6 TENINO BEAVERS (9-1)

(Tenino standout Takari Hickle)

7 p.m.  Friday at Beaver Stadium, Tenino

Statistical leaders: For Freeman — Passing: Boen Phelps (100-173 for 1,509 yards, 21 TD, 9 INT); Rushing: Phelps (428 yards, 9.3 ypc, 5 TD); WR: Ryan Russell (26 rec., 569 yards, 7 TD); Tackles: Dailyn Poston (60 tackles, 7 TFL, 1 sack, INT). For Tenino — RB: Takari Hickle (1,413 yards, 9.1 ypc, 18 TD), Dylan Spicer (1,004 yards, 9.7 ypc, 12 TD), Gavin Watson (472 yards, 11 TD). Tackles: Randy Marti (53 tackles, 11 TFL) Takari Hickle (46 tackles, 14 TFL, 7 sacks). Interceptions: Salvador Ontiveros (2)

What to watch for: Contrasting styles clash between the Beavers’ run-heavy offense (432.5 yards per game) led by Oregon State-bound Takari Hickle takes on more of an RPO led by junior first team all-1A Northeast dual-threat QB Boen Phelps. Both teams have taken narrow losses to teams in the field — Tenino a two-point loss to No. 2 Eatonville, Freeman with losses to No. 4 Lakeside (20-17) and No. 7 Riverside (24-14). Beavers are battle-tested in the loaded 1A EvCo.

Pick: Tenino, 34-24.

NO. 14 GRANITE FALL TIGERS (5-2) at NO.  3. LYNDEN CHRISTIAN LYNCS (5-2)

(Photo by Tom Jones)

7 p.m. Friday at Civic Stadium, Bellingham

Statistical leaders: For Granite Falls — QB: Riley Hoople (41-91, 492 yards, 8 TD, 2 INT); RB: Keldyn Smith (772 yards, 8.1 ppc, 8 TD), goo Gonzalez (593 yards, 5.9 ypc, 7 TD), Hoople (477 yards, 6.6 ypc, 10 TD); WR: Johnathan Roberts (121 yards, 3 TD). For Lynden Christian — QB: Will Colwell (86-167, 1.289 yards, 15 TD, 5 INT); RB: Colwell (383 yards, 4.5 ypc, 4 TD), Kade Eldridge (350 yards, 6.7 ypc, 4 TD); WR: Jamison Hintz (23 rec, 409 yards, 6 TD), Tyler Sipma (19 rec, 249, 3 TD), Caleb Ryan (18 rec, 237 yards, 3 TD); Defense: Matthew Burrows (44.5 tackles, 7.5 TFL), Eldridge (43 tackles, 12 TFL), Kayden Stuit (37.5 tackles), Hintz (3 INT).

What to watch for: After opening the season with lopsided losses to strong 2A opponents, the Lyncs are hitting their stride defensively with three consecutive shutouts, including one of No. 8 Mount Baker. Offensively, Will Colwell’s calm handle of the offense and ability to pass and take off on his feet has been complemented by Kade Eldridge flourishing as a thundering rushing option after moving over from tight end following a season-ending injury to starting RB Kayden Mellema. Granite Falls needs to establish the run to succeed, but can it against a Lyncs group playing with newfound confidence?

Pick: Lynden Christian, 21-3.

NO. 10 MONTESANO BULLDOGS (6-3) at NO. 7 RIVERSIDE RAMS (9-1)

Montesano’s Thomas Boyle screams in victory after a 1A Southwest District playoff game on Friday, Nov. 5, 2021, at Beaver Stadium in Woodland. Montesano won 42-20. (Joshua Hart/For ScorebookLive)

6 p.m. Friday at Riverside High School, Chattatory

Statistical leaders: For Montesano — QB: Jayden McElravy (73-123, 1,158 yards, 15 TD, 3 INT); RB: Isaiah Pierce (1,415 yards, 8.95 ypc, 16 TD), McElravy (406 yards, 5.34, 10 TD); WR: Caydon Lovell (30 rec, 563 yards, 6 TD), Jack Holmstrom (15 ret, 185 yards, 3 TD), Pierce (15 rec, 272 yards, 5 TD); Defense: Pierce (85 tackles, 2 sack, 2 fumble rec, 1 fumble return TD), Mateo Sanchez (86 tackles). For Riverside — QB: Silas Ng (51-122, 775 yards, 5 TD, 6 INT); Rushing: Ng (666 yards, 6.4 ypc, 9 TD), Jake Gaffaney (394 yards, 7.73 ypc, 6 TD), Tyler Lenz (336 yards, 6.22 ypc, 3 TD); WR: Jordan Nortz (21 rec, 342 yards, TD); Defense: Cody Strasberg (69 tackles, 2 TFL, 2 fumble rec), Cameron Burnham (63 tackles, 8 sacks, 8 TFL, 2 fumble rec), Aaron DesRoches (62 tackles, 2 sack, 2 TFL), Nortz (14 tackles, 10 INT).

What to watch for: Outside of a narrow 6-0 loss to No. 4 Lakeside, the Rams have beaten two playoff teams (2A Shadle Park, No. 11 Freeman) and won in a variety of ways. But the streaking Bulldogs may present the Riverside defense with toughest task to date — slowing Isaiah Pierce, who torched La Center for 295 all-purpose yards in the district round. Montesano, a perennial 1A EvCo power, is playing its best football yet, overcoming offseason (major injuries) and early-season (COVID pause) obstacles to win three games in a row. Free advice to the Bulldogs’ offensive staff — don’t throw Jordan Nortz’s way (10 picks).

Pick: Montesano, 24-17.

NO. 15 EAST JEFFERSON COWBOYS (6-2) at NO. 2. EATONVILLE CRUISERS (10-0)

(Photo by Andy Buhler)

1 p.m. Saturday at Art Crate Field, Spanaway

Statistical leaders: For East Jefferson — QB: Cash Holmes (19-36, 259 yards, TD, 4 INT); RB: Logan Massie (805 yards, 100.6 yards per game, 12 ypc, 10 TD), Anson Jones (305 yards, 6.8 ypc, 2 TD); Defense: Siamau Auseuga (27 tackles, 4 sacks, 1 TFL), Massie (25 tackles, 9 sacks, 1 TFL), Chris Fair (25 tackles, 3 TFL), Kenney (3 INT). For Eatonville — QB: Kevin Wulff (83-124, 1,627 yards, 17 TD, 4 INT); Rushing: Dylan Norman (650 yards, 8.4 ypc, 7 TD), Wulff (409 yards, 9.5 ypc, 6 TD), Job Kralik (162 yards, 20.3 ypc, 4 TD); WR: Jakob Lucht (23 rec, 587 yards, 8 TD), Kralik (28 rec, 651yards, 5 TD); Defense: Blain Hanly (102 tackles, 1 INT), Reilly McIlraith (3 INT), Zach Barnett (45 tackles, 5 sacks), Antonio Accarino (50 tackles).

What to watch for: The Cruisers’ offense (41.5 points per game) doesn’t appear to have a weakness, and only needs an ounce of space to make a house call. But East Jefferson — a second-year Chimacum (2B)/Port Townsend (1A) co-op — isn’t afraid of the challenge under first-year coach Tony Haddenham. To compete, it will need to take a page out of La Center and Tenino’s book and establish its well-oiled ground game and keep Eatonville’s offense off the field — and out of the end zone.

Pick: Eatonville, 28-14.

NO. 12 ZILLAH LEOPARDS (6-3) at NO. 5 KING’S KNIGHTS (7-1)

2 p.m. Saturday at Woolsey Stadium, Shoreline

Statistical leaders: For Zillah — RB: Braydon Flood (867 yards, 17 TD); WR: Owen Avila (251 yards, 5 TD); Defense: Flood (57 tackles, 15 TFL, 4 sacks), Brady Damron (45 tackles, 6 TFL, 4 sacks), Zane Delp (10 TFl, 3 sacks, 1 def TD), Jared Nunes (43 tackles, 7 sacks, 2 blocked kicks, 1 def TD), Madden Garcia (32 tackles, 3 INT), Cash Layman (30 tackles, 15 PBU). For King’s — Rushing: Chris Newton (355 yards), Cutter Rolfs (315 yards), Hayden Teeter (112 yards); Receiving: Lucas Prendergast (593 yards), Maddox Boyce (253 yards), Weston Campbell (172 yards). 

What to watch for: The Leopards had to pivot quickly when the player its power-spread offense was built around — four-year starting QB Clay Delp — broke his collarbone midseason. They’ve utilized a rush-heavy offense behind two-way standout Braydon Flood and a quickly expanding playbook for new starter Jon VanCleave to string together a late-season run. Can its Zan Delp and Flood-powered defense, which has allowed fewer than 10 points per game, hold up against a balanced Knights group, which took its first loss by seven in a tune-up against 2A Lakewood, and has outscored opponents by an average of 34 points per game?

Pick: King’s, 21-10.

NO. 13 OMAK PIONEERS (6-1) at NO. 4 LAKESIDE (NINE MILE FALLS) EAGLES (10-0)

May be an image of one or more people, people playing football and people standing
Photo courtesy of Omak athletics

7 p.m. Saturday at Union Stadium, Mead

Statistical leaders: For Omak — QB: Beau Sackman (74-142, 1.384 yards, 18 TD, 9 INT); Rushing: Kessler Fjellman (1,127 yards, 7.3 ypc, 15 TD), Sackman (555 yards, 5.2 ppc, 6 TD); WR: Jonny Stenberg (26 rec, 491 yards, 10 TD), Tre Rose (10 rec, 142 yards, TD), Fjellman (25 rec, 456 yards, 2 TD); Defense:  Rose (12.2 tackles per game),  John Bucsko (8 tackles per game), Fjellman (7.8 tackles per game), Jacob Hurlbert (6.3 tackles per game). For Lakeside — QB: Kole Hunsaker (116-190, 1,811 yards, 20 TD); RB: Sadahiro Patterson (670 yards, 10.5 ppc, 11 TD), Jesse James (323 yards, 10.1 ppc, TD); WR: Tobeck Dawson (29 rec, 547 yards, 9 TD), Calvin Mikkelsen (32 rec, 490 yards, 7 TD), Patterson (16 rec, 336. Yards, 4 TD). Defense: Patterson (8 INT, fumble rec), Dawson (109 tackles, 6 INT, 4 fumble rec, 1 def TD), Oz Melzer (114 tackles, 5 sacks, 15 TFL), Mikkelsen (96 tackles, 4 TFL).

What to watch for: It’s as much a battle between leagues as it is opponents. Both teams have swept their own backyards, but are largely unproven out of area. The Eagles boast as balanced an offense as you’ll find in 1A (187.8 yards passing, 169.3 yards rushing per game) with as steady a signal-caller as there is statewide in 1A Northeast League MVP Kole Hunsaker, and a defense that has accounted for 20 interceptions on the season. The Pioneers, a state quarterfinal team in 2019, holds a postseason experience advantage over the playoff-newcomer Eagles, and has a 1,000-yard rusher in do-it-all senior Kessler Fjellman and an up-and-coming dual-threat quarterback of their own in ninth grader Beau Sackman.

Pick: Lakeside, 31-24.

NO. 9 TOPPENISH WILDCATS (10-0) at NO. 8 MOUNT BAKER MOUNTAINEERS (6-3)

(Photo by Mario Trujillo)

4 p.m. Saturday at Civic Stadium, Bellingham

Statistical leaders: For Toppenish — QB: Joshua Perez (114-159, 2,039 yards, 31 TD, 5 INT); RB: Jose Torres (1,171 yards, 7.9 ppc, 10 TD); WR: Jason Grant (42 rec, 1,017 yards, 16 TD), Nick Cortes Jr. (22 rec, 446 yards, 7 TD), Shane Rivera (23 rec, 305, 4 TD); Defense: Seth Ordaz (94 tackles, 5 TFL), Grant (59 tackles, 7 INT), Elon Cripps (52 tackels, 10 TFL), Devin Bauer (36 tackles, 10 TFL, 8 sacks). For Mount Baker — QB: Davin Beason (619 yards, 7 TD, 3 INT);  Rushing: Jesse Sande (901 yards, 8 TD), Marcques George (844 yards, 8 TD), Beason (125 yards, TD); Receiving: Wyatt Pettigrew (311 yards, 4 TD), Sande (125 yards, TD); Defense: Beason (102 tackles, 8 TFL, 2 sacks, INT), Alex Maloley (5.5 TFL, 7.5 sacks), Vance Lawrence (7.5 sacks), Thayer Brown (8 TFL, 7.5 sacks), Thayer Brown (8 TFL, 7.5 sacks), Pettigrew (4 INT).

What to watch for: This may be the best game in the first round. The Wildcats thought going 10-0 was good enough to secure a first round home game. Instead, they must hit the road and take on a 1A playoff mainstay. Toppenish has playmakers everywhere, including a state player of the year candidate in WR/DB Jason Grant. But its wins haven’t come as easy against run-heavy teams and the Mounties might be the best they’ll see to date. After moving linebacker and another state player of the year candidate Davin Beason under center, Mount Baker found a rhythm on offense and has two running backs — Jesse Sande and junior Marcques George — who can go the distance on a moment’s notice. 

Pick: Mount Baker, 21-14.

NO. 16 BELLEVUE CHRISTIAN VIKINGS (5-3) at NO. 1 ROYAL KNIGHTS (10-0)

(Photo by Tom Jones)

1 p.m. Saturday at David Nielsen Field, Royal City

Statistical leaders: For Bellevue Christian — QB: Isaac Britton (26-39, 303 yards, 6 TD, 2 INT); RB: Austin Harrison (209 yards, 7.1 ypc, 8 TD), Collin Neal (614 yards, 8.9 ypc, 8 TD), Britton (430 yards, 3.2 ypc, 9 TD); WR: Harrison (10 rec, 149 yards, 3 TD); Defense: Britton (68 tackles, 6 TFL), Harrison (44 tackles, 4 INT), Quinn Myhre (42 tackles, 10 TFL, 5 sacks); Tristan Drummond (2 INT, 3 fumble rec). For Royal — QB: Derek Bergeson (85-147, 1,606 yards, 32 TD, 4 INT); RB: Avery Ellis (799 yards, 9.7 ypc, 16 TD); WR: Luke Bergeson (31 rec, 688 yards, 16 TD, 1 fumble rec); Defense: Dylan Allred (64 tackles, 1 sack, INT), Derek Bergeson (55 tackles, 5 TFL, 2 INT), Ellis (42 tackles, 19 TFL, INT).

What to watch for: Royal has been on top of 1A for long enough (haven’t lost since 2018) to intimidate an opponent by just stepping on the field. This year, any initial concern that its offense wouldn’t be quite as prolific without QB Caleb Christensen were silenced — quickly. All-state linebacker Derek Bergeson has been masterful under center, and the Knights defense hasn’t allowed a whole lot of traction. The 1A Nisqually runner-up Vikings have their work cut out.

Pick: Royal, 42-7.

(Lead photo by Mario Trujillo, Toppenish Athletics)

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